Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.123600 0.137565 0.151855 0.167533 0.184210 0.201384 0.220369
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.107810 0.127459 0.148304 0.171933 0.197845 0.225273 0.256379
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.093412 0.116704 0.142225 0.171984 0.205457 0.241690 0.283621
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.084224 0.110532 0.140183 0.175597 0.216275 0.261106 0.313822
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.075418 0.103818 0.136704 0.176864 0.223877 0.276524 0.339296
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.067202 0.096988 0.132398 0.176559 0.229176 0.288959 0.361131
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.060826 0.091806 0.129548 0.177530 0.235599 0.302421 0.383961
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.054413 0.086009 0.125471 0.176599 0.239425 0.312606 0.402814
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.050746 0.083453 0.125168 0.180068 0.248368 0.328702 0.428526
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.046338 0.079533 0.122826 0.180742 0.253714 0.340393 0.448971
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.042172 0.075605 0.120199 0.180818 0.258137 0.350848 0.467871
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.037946 0.071251 0.116726 0.179567 0.260716 0.358933 0.483841
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.034887 0.068472 0.115352 0.181123 0.267010 0.371841 0.506051
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032979 0.067264 0.116034 0.185333 0.276670 0.388925 0.533423
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029862 0.063934 0.113556 0.185164 0.280606 0.398874 0.552093
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028163 0.062707 0.113964 0.188832 0.289481 0.414984 0.578370
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025929 0.060417 0.112693 0.190095 0.295146 0.427043 0.599667
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023461 0.057514 0.110354 0.189741 0.298585 0.436238 0.617398
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021548 0.055391 0.109051 0.190739 0.303750 0.447590 0.637815
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019333 0.052517 0.106443 0.189755 0.306165 0.455372 0.653742
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018328 0.051778 0.107078 0.193381 0.314788 0.471133 0.679729
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016780 0.049858 0.105750 0.194084 0.319388 0.481685 0.699159
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015232 0.047781 0.104056 0.194162 0.323072 0.491019 0.717047